Disclaimer : MRA (Monthly Real Estate Analysis) – December 2017 Pakistan Real Estate Analysis is a general guideline and does not cover all aspects of the market. The real estate trends vary even within blocks of the same phase and for a layman it gets very complicated and confusing. You can however attend our real estate briefing and discussion sessions held every Friday 7 to 8 Pm to answer your queries in person .
MRA – December 2017 Pakistan Real Estate Analysis
MRA – December 2017 Pakistan Real Estate Analysis
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Following socities are included in this month analysis.
- DHA Multan
- DHA Peshawar
- DHA Gujranwalla
- DHA Bahawalpur
- Sangar Gwadar
DHA Multan
DHA Multan file prices have bounced back after crashing to 43 Lacs in November, presently the files are being traded at 50 Lacs. I believe that the file prices will be not go any higher in December. The 10 Marla affidavit file availability is very rare and the price is higher as well if at all you can find one, in my opinion it is better to purchase a 1 Kanal Ext Affidavit of Phase 1 in 35 Lacs instead of buying a 10 Marla Phase 1 affidavit in 36 Lacs. It is a valuable investment for short term if files crash down between 40 – 45 Lacs.
DHA Peshawar
Balloting for DHA Peshawar will go as planned on 25th December 2017 . The master plan is expected to be launched on 17th of December and we will get the first look on the planning of the DHA Peshawar as lots depend on that. Presently it is the best short term investment which should give you handsome returns in next 6 months to an year. If you are buying files now keep in mind that they may not be included in the balloting after 15th December. The allocation files on the other hand will be included and therefore we will see prices of Allocation files going up after 15th December.
Peshawar DHA is a recommended investment for next 6 months to 1 year as I believe that the plot price will gain 20 to 25% in an years time.
DHA Gujranwala
DHA Gujranwala is shifting its office from Gujranwala cantonment to main GT road for easier access. I believe that this is a good move as security checks within the Cantt were bothersome for investors. This may also have a positive impact on the prices of DHA files in Gujranwala in coming weeks. Price of 1 Kanal file has gone down to 42 lacs in November and 10 Marla files is trading at 28 Lacs approx. DHA Gujranwala sustained the crash of DHA Multan files during the month of November without any major decrease in its price and may show signs of improvement later this month after the office shifts.
DHA Bahawalpur
DHA Bahwalpur files crashed to 26 lacs only to bounce back up to 29 Lacs and now is trading at 28 Lacs. I am not a big fan of DHA Bahawalpur and i will wait for balloting announcement which will impact the prices positively.
Sangar Gwadar
Besides opportunity trading, Sangar is over all quiet at the moment just like rest of Gwadar. I strongly recommend everyone not to waste money in private societies or open lands in Gwadar. You should only buy open land if you are purchasing at least 50 Acres.
Making a prediction about Gwadar is very hard as it is very volatile because of rapidly changing circumstances. In addition I believe that there will be many more opportunities in Gwadar in times to come, so best is to wait a bit and jump at a later time when things are more secure for investment.
Summary
To summarize there is not much difference in over all forecast from November as we see short term gains in DHA Peshawar till balloting and mid term gains in 2018 after balloting. Medium term gains in Gujranwalla and Mid to long term gains in Bahwalpur, Multan and Sangar Gwadar.
Captain (Retd) Shahnawaz Yaqub Bhatti
Investment Consultant and CEO at Imlaak
Mob : +92 333 1717170 ( Whatsapp)
